Trump's Support Among Hispanic Voters Sinks to Record Low as Midterms Near, New Poll Finds

A fresh survey conducted by Reuters in partnership with Ipsos has revealed that President Donald Trump's standing among Hispanic voters has fallen to its lowest level since he first entered the White House, a development that could have significant consequences for Republican candidates in the fast-approaching midterm elections.

The six-day poll, which concluded on Monday, found that only 24 percent of Hispanic voters now approve of the job Trump is doing as president. That figure represents a new low for the president within this key demographic during either of his two terms in office. Overall, just 32 percent of American voters approve of Trump's performance, a number that has remained essentially unchanged since September.

The erosion of support among Latino voters marks a striking reversal from the 2024 presidential election, when Trump made substantial gains with this constituency. According to estimates from the Pew Research Center, Trump and his Democratic opponent, Kamala Harris, were separated by only three percentage points in that contest, with Harris capturing 51 percent of the Hispanic vote compared to Trump's 48 percent.

That result represented a considerable improvement for Trump over his 2020 campaign, when he secured just 36 percent of Hispanic support. Political analysts have widely credited that surge in Latino backing as a major factor in Trump's victory over Democrat Joe Biden in 2024. Trump's first bid for the presidency, by contrast, ended in defeat.

The new polling data suggests that those gains have largely disappeared. Approximately 52 percent of Hispanic voters now say they intend to support Democratic candidates in the November midterms, while only 26 percent plan to vote for Republicans. That roughly two-to-one advantage for Democrats signals a dramatic shift in a demographic that Republicans had hoped to keep in their column.

The upcoming midterm elections are widely interpreted as a referendum on Trump's second term. Voters will determine whether Republicans retain their majorities in both chambers of Congress — the House of Representatives and the Senate. Should Democrats win control of one or both houses, they would be positioned to place significant obstacles in the path of Trump's legislative agenda for the remainder of his presidency.

Democrats have moved aggressively to capitalize on the president's declining approval numbers, seeking to convert public dissatisfaction with Trump into enthusiasm and turnout at the ballot box. Party leaders view the dip in support among Hispanic voters, in particular, as an opening to reclaim ground they lost in 2024.

Trump has also encountered signs of unrest within his own party as the November 3 elections draw closer. One notable example came last month when Republican Representative Maria Elvira Salazar of Florida released a campaign advertisement that directly addressed the president. In the ad, Salazar said that the same Hispanic voters who helped Trump win the White House in 2024 now feel betrayed by his administration.

Salazar specifically pointed to Trump's aggressive immigration enforcement policies as a source of friction. She argued that some of the administration's enforcement measures have gone too far, citing the detention and deportation of immigrants who have no criminal records. Her remarks underscore growing anxiety among some Republican lawmakers that the president's hardline approach could alienate swing voters in competitive districts.

Political experts have likewise cautioned that Trump's declining popularity — driven in part by voter concerns about the rising cost of living and his decision to initiate a war with Iran — could drag down Republican candidates in key races across the country. The combination of economic pressures and foreign policy entanglements has created a challenging environment for the party in power, historically a difficult position from which to contest midterm elections.

Despite these warning signs, Trump has publicly maintained confidence about his party's prospects in November. He has also defended his decision to place himself at the center of the Republican campaign strategy, dismissing suggestions that some in his party would prefer he keep a lower profile. In recent days, the president launched an ambitious 32-day series of rallies across the country leading up to the November 3 vote.

"Just so you understand, they all want me to go," Trump told supporters, denying any internal reluctance about his heavy campaign involvement. "They all want me to go campaign."

Whether that strategy will help or hurt Republican candidates remains an open question. With Hispanic voters shifting sharply toward Democrats and overall approval ratings stuck at historic lows, the president's active role on the campaign trail could prove to be either an asset or a liability for his party as voters head to the polls. The coming weeks will determine whether Trump can reverse the trend or whether his diminished standing among a once-promising constituency will cost Republicans control of Congress.